Oriole Insights
  • 📃Whitepaper
    • Introduction
      • Background: The state of uncertainty in the cryptocurrency world.
      • The Necessity of Social Prediction Platforms
      • Oriole Insights Mission: Community-Driven Predictions
    • About Oriole Insights
      • Introduction to Oriole Insights
      • The Vision: Reputation and Accuracy at the Forefront
      • Oriole Insights Unveiled: Engaging the Predictive Spirit
    • Target Audience
      • Newbies
      • Traders and Analysts
      • Opinion Leaders (KOLs)
    • Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights
      • UP/DOWN Prediction Market
        • Prediction Options & Mechanics
        • Vote Status: Pending, Active, Finished
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets
        • Engage with ROI Prediction Markets and Earn Reputation
        • Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Reputation Calculation in ROI Prediction Markets
        • Rewards & Seed Pool Distribution | ORI Allocation
      • Polls - Binary & Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Topics of Binary and Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Requirements and eligibility for participation in Polls Prediciton Markets
        • Polls Prediction Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • Decentralized Validation Mechanics for ROI & Polls Prediction Markets
      • User Types and Their Role in Oriole Insights
      • Reputation System Overview
      • Accuracy System Overview
      • Oriole Fear & Greed Index Overview
    • User Engagement & Gamification: Levels, Rewards, and Leaderboards
      • Levels & Leveling-Up Mechanism
      • Earn Rewards with Oriole Insights' Activity-Based User Incentive Program
      • Perks Overview: Booster, Hedge & Limit-Order
      • Reputation & Levels Synergy
      • Leaderboards: Enhanced View
    • Telegram Mini App
      • Mini App & Web: Account Connection Guide
      • Telegram Mini App Core Functionality
      • How to Earn and how to use "Insights"
      • Mini App Referral System
    • 🫂Community Boost Program: Earn ORI
    • 🎯Roadmap
  • ℹ️FAQ
    • FAQ | Common Questions & Answers
      • General Questions | FAQs
      • Prediction Mechanics | UP/DOWN Predictions
      • Reputation, Ratings & Badges Overview
      • Perks
      • Ambassadorship & Community Leadership
  • 👨‍🎓How-to Guides
    • How to Place UP/DOWN Predictions on Oriole Insights
    • Cancel Your UP/DOWN Vote Guide
    • Level-Up Guide: Boost Your Rank
    • Check Reputation & ORI Balance History
  • 🎨Useful Materials
    • Media Kit | Logos & Icons
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  1. Whitepaper
  2. Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights

Accuracy System Overview

Explore Oriole Insights' accuracy metrics, including User Accuracy, Project Accuracy, and Vote Accuracy, to evaluate predictive performance and effectiveness.

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Last updated 1 year ago

In Oriole Insights, accuracy metrics play a vital role in evaluating the effectiveness of user predictions on the platform. Here’s a comprehensive overview:

  • User Accuracy: is the broad measure of your predictive performance across all projects on Oriole Insights. It's like a report card of your forecasting skills, summarizing the outcomes of all your market predictions. For example, if you've made predictions on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin, and 60 out of your 100-day predictions turn out correct, your User would be 60%. This percentage gives you an idea of how often your insights are on target relative to all the predictions you've placed on the platform.

  • Project Accuracy: provides a snapshot of how all users' predictions fare on a specific project and timeframe on Oriole Insights. Think of it as a community's collective insight into one cryptocurrency's performance. For instance, if the Oriole Insights community made various predictions on the Ripple project over different periods, Project Accuracy would be the average of these predictions. If there were 200 prediction days for Ripple and 150 were accurate, the Project Accuracy would be 75%, reflecting the overall precision of users' predictions for Ripple on our platform.

  • Vote Accuracy: this metric reflects one particular prediction, highlighting a user's forecasting prowess for a single cryptocurrency in a specific vote. For example, let’s say you have a prediction specifically for Bitcoin over a 30-day period. If you accurately predict the price movement for 20 of those days, your Vote Accuracy for Bitcoin would be approximately 66.7%.

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