Topics of Binary and Categorical Prediction Markets

The Polls Prediction Markets covers diverse topics, primarily focusing on the cryptocurrency field but also encompassing significant financial indicators. Below are some of the key topics that will be featured in this market:

Token Generation Events (TGE) & Listings

Predict whether a project will conduct a TGE or list its token by a certain date. This topic focuses on forecasting new tokens' launches and listings on cryptocurrency exchanges, which impact a project's visibility and liquidity.

• Example: "Will Project Alpha have TGE in 2025?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "When Project Alpha will conduct it's TGE?" Options: Q1 2024,

  Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Not in 2024

• Example: "Will Project Alpha list its token on at least one Tier-1 CEX by June 30, 2024?" Options: Yes / No

Price Predictions

Predict whether the price of a specific token will be above or below a certain value on a specific date. This involves analyzing market trends, technical indicators, and news events that could affect the token's price.

• Example: "Will Bitcoin (BTC) be above $70,000 by the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "What will Ethereum's price range (ETH) be at the end of 2024?" Options: Below $2,000, Between $2,000 and $3,000, Between $3,000 and $4,000, Above $4,000

• Example: "Will Ripple (XRP) price exceed $1 by the end of Q2 2024?" Options: Yes / No

Launch Events

Predict the launch of products, protocols, staking platforms, DAOs, testnets, or mainnets by a certain date. This focuses on significant milestones in a project's development roadmap.

• Example: "Will Project Delta launch its mainnet by the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "When will Project Epsilon release its staking platform?" Options: Before March 31, 2024; Between April 1 and June 30, 2024; Between July 1 and September 30, 2024; After September 30, 2024

• Example: "When will Project Zeta launch its mainnet?" Options: Q1 2024, Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, Not in 2024

Retrodrop and Airdrops

Predict whether a project will perform an airdrop/retrodrop or how it will decide to distribute tokens based on user activity. This topic revolves around predicting token distributions that reward early adopters or active users.

• Example: "Will Project Gamma announce an airdrop to early adopters by May 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "Which project will perform an airdrop to its community first?" Options: Project Theta, Project Iota, Project Kappa

• Example: "Will Project Lambda distribute tokens to testnet participants by August 31, 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "How many tokens from the total supply the project Alpha will allocate for Retrodrop?" Options: 0%-5% , 5%-10%, 10%-25%, 25% and higher

Market Capitalization

Predict whether a cryptocurrency's market cap will reach a certain value (or be in a specific range) by a specific date.

• Example: "Will Ethereum's market cap exceed $500 billion by the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "Which cryptocurrency will have the highest market cap by the end of 2024?" Options: Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL)

• Example: "Will the total cryptocurrency market capitalization surpass $3 trillion by March 2025?" Options: Yes / No

Hack Events

Predict whether a project, protocol, or exchange will experience a security breach by a certain date. Such topics for the Polls may show the community's beliefs in the cybersecurity of specific protocols, apps, and other blockchain products.

• Example: "Which project will be hacked next?" Options: Project Alpha, Project Beta, Project Gamma

• Example: "How much money will the biggest hack cost in 2025?" Options: Less than $50 million, Between $50 million and $100 million, Between $100 million and $200 million, More than $200 million

• Example: "Will any major cryptocurrency exchange (TOP10 by CMC) experience a hack by the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

Adoption Metrics

Predict whether a project will achieve certain adoption milestones, such as user numbers or active wallets. This involves predicting growth in a project's user base or network activity.

• Example: "Will Project Iota reach 1 million active users by the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "When will Project Kappa achieve 500,000 daily transactions?" Options: Q1 2024, Q2 2024, Q3 2024, Q4 2024, After 2024

• Example: "Will Project Lambda have more than 100,000 active wallets by June 30, 2024?" Options: Yes / No

Competition

Predict which coin from a given list will have the highest growth or decline. This involves comparing the performance of different cryptocurrencies.

• Example: "Which of these tokens will have the highest percentage gain by the end of 2024?" Options: Token Kappa, Token Lambda, Token Mu.

• Example: "Will Token Omicron outperform Token Pi in market cap by the end of Q2 2024?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "Which cryptocurrency will rank higher on CoinMarketCap by June 30, 2024?" Options: Token Rho, Token Sigma

Interest Rates

Predict changes in interest rates for key countries. Interest rate decisions by central banks can significantly impact financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

• Example: "Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the next meeting?" Options: Yes / No

• Example: "How will the European Central Bank change the interest rate in September 2024?" Options: Increase by 50+ basis points, Increase by 25 basis points, No change, Decrease by 25 basis points, Decrease by 50+ basis points

• Example: "Will the Bank of England cut interest rates by at least 0.25% before the end of 2024?" Options: Yes / No

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These topics provide various prediction opportunities, allowing users to apply their knowledge and insights to predict significant events and trends in the cryptocurrency and financial markets.