Oriole Insights
  • 📃Whitepaper
    • Introduction
      • Background: The state of uncertainty in the cryptocurrency world.
      • The Necessity of Social Prediction Platforms
      • Oriole Insights Mission: Community-Driven Predictions
    • About Oriole Insights
      • Introduction to Oriole Insights
      • The Vision: Reputation and Accuracy at the Forefront
      • Oriole Insights Unveiled: Engaging the Predictive Spirit
    • Target Audience
      • Newbies
      • Traders and Analysts
      • Opinion Leaders (KOLs)
    • Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights
      • UP/DOWN Prediction Market
        • Prediction Options & Mechanics
        • Vote Status: Pending, Active, Finished
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets
        • Engage with ROI Prediction Markets and Earn Reputation
        • Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Reputation Calculation in ROI Prediction Markets
        • Rewards & Seed Pool Distribution | ORI Allocation
      • Polls - Binary & Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Topics of Binary and Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Requirements and eligibility for participation in Polls Prediciton Markets
        • Polls Prediction Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • Decentralized Validation Mechanics for ROI & Polls Prediction Markets
      • User Types and Their Role in Oriole Insights
      • Reputation System Overview
      • Accuracy System Overview
      • Oriole Fear & Greed Index Overview
    • User Engagement & Gamification: Levels, Rewards, and Leaderboards
      • Levels & Leveling-Up Mechanism
      • Earn Rewards with Oriole Insights' Activity-Based User Incentive Program
      • Perks Overview: Booster, Hedge & Limit-Order
      • Reputation & Levels Synergy
      • Leaderboards: Enhanced View
    • Telegram Mini App
      • Mini App & Web: Account Connection Guide
      • Telegram Mini App Core Functionality
      • How to Earn and how to use "Insights"
      • Mini App Referral System
    • 🫂Community Boost Program: Earn ORI
    • 🎯Roadmap
  • ℹ️FAQ
    • FAQ | Common Questions & Answers
      • General Questions | FAQs
      • Prediction Mechanics | UP/DOWN Predictions
      • Reputation, Ratings & Badges Overview
      • Perks
      • Ambassadorship & Community Leadership
  • 👨‍🎓How-to Guides
    • How to Place UP/DOWN Predictions on Oriole Insights
    • Cancel Your UP/DOWN Vote Guide
    • Level-Up Guide: Boost Your Rank
    • Check Reputation & ORI Balance History
  • 🎨Useful Materials
    • Media Kit | Logos & Icons
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  • EXAMPLE
  1. Whitepaper
  2. Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights
  3. ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets

Reputation Calculation in ROI Prediction Markets

In the Oriole Insights platform, the reputation calculation within the ROI Prediction market is tailored to the specific project. Unlike a fixed reputational change in markets like Up/Down predictions, where a correct or incorrect forecast might uniformly affect reputation by a value such as +/-0.025, the ROI Prediction market introduces a variable parameter. The amount of reputation a user can win or lose in this market varies from project to project. This variability allows the platform to account for different levels of prediction difficulty, potential market impact, and other project-specific factors, making the reputation rewards or penalties more nuanced and tailored to each betting scenario.

Moreover, some markets might have multiple winning outcomes. For example, if the result marginally qualifies for two different ranges, both predictions may be deemed winners, reflecting a fair and flexible approach to unforeseen outcomes.

EXAMPLE

Let’s assume that the reputation parameter is set to 0.5 for a specific prediction market, and the person can make a prediction for no more than 3 options:

For Single Vote & Outcome:

  • If a user makes a correct prediction on a single outcome, they receive a 100% increase in the reputation stakes for that specific ROI Prediction bet (e.g., +0.5 to their reputation score).

  • Conversely, if their prediction on a single outcome is incorrect, they lose 100% of the reputation at stake for that bet (e.g., -0.5 from their reputation score).

For Multiple Votes & Outcomes:

  • Let's assume a user chooses 3 variants of 10 available for the ROI Prediction Pool. 2 of these 3 variants are losing, and 1 is winning. In this case, the user's reputation score decreases by half of the potential Win/Loss Reputation amount for this exact Prediction Pool.

  • Let's assume a user chooses 3 variants of 10 available for the ROI Prediction Pool. 2 of these 3 variants are winning, and 1 is losing. In this case, the user's reputation score increases by half of the potential Win/Loss Reputation amount for this exact Prediction Pool.

Important Note: Oriole Insights may cancel a market under certain circumstances, safeguarding users' stakes and reputation. In such cases, invested ORIs are refunded.

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Last updated 1 year ago

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