Oriole Insights
  • 📃Whitepaper
    • Introduction
      • Background: The state of uncertainty in the cryptocurrency world.
      • The Necessity of Social Prediction Platforms
      • Oriole Insights Mission: Community-Driven Predictions
    • About Oriole Insights
      • Introduction to Oriole Insights
      • The Vision: Reputation and Accuracy at the Forefront
      • Oriole Insights Unveiled: Engaging the Predictive Spirit
    • Target Audience
      • Newbies
      • Traders and Analysts
      • Opinion Leaders (KOLs)
    • Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights
      • UP/DOWN Prediction Market
        • Prediction Options & Mechanics
        • Vote Status: Pending, Active, Finished
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets
        • Engage with ROI Prediction Markets and Earn Reputation
        • Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Reputation Calculation in ROI Prediction Markets
        • Rewards & Seed Pool Distribution | ORI Allocation
      • Polls - Binary & Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Topics of Binary and Categorical Prediction Markets
        • Requirements and eligibility for participation in Polls Prediciton Markets
        • Polls Prediction Market Cycles (Stages)
        • Outcome Determination & Rewards Distribution
      • Decentralized Validation Mechanics for ROI & Polls Prediction Markets
      • User Types and Their Role in Oriole Insights
      • Reputation System Overview
      • Accuracy System Overview
      • Oriole Fear & Greed Index Overview
    • User Engagement & Gamification: Levels, Rewards, and Leaderboards
      • Levels & Leveling-Up Mechanism
      • Earn Rewards with Oriole Insights' Activity-Based User Incentive Program
      • Perks Overview: Booster, Hedge & Limit-Order
      • Reputation & Levels Synergy
      • Leaderboards: Enhanced View
    • Telegram Mini App
      • Mini App & Web: Account Connection Guide
      • Telegram Mini App Core Functionality
      • How to Earn and how to use "Insights"
      • Mini App Referral System
    • 🫂Community Boost Program: Earn ORI
    • 🎯Roadmap
  • ℹ️FAQ
    • FAQ | Common Questions & Answers
      • General Questions | FAQs
      • Prediction Mechanics | UP/DOWN Predictions
      • Reputation, Ratings & Badges Overview
      • Perks
      • Ambassadorship & Community Leadership
  • 👨‍🎓How-to Guides
    • How to Place UP/DOWN Predictions on Oriole Insights
    • Cancel Your UP/DOWN Vote Guide
    • Level-Up Guide: Boost Your Rank
    • Check Reputation & ORI Balance History
  • 🎨Useful Materials
    • Media Kit | Logos & Icons
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  1. Whitepaper
  2. Core Mechanics and Reward System of Oriole Insights

ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets

Introduction to ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets

Cryptocurrency projects raise funds from various sources, such as VCs, funds, individual investors, etc., in return for allocating the project's tokens (coins). This process is known as the Token Sale (Seed/Private/Public Sale) before the token is listed on an exchange. Moreover, some projects can allocate tokens via Retrodrop for free, distributing tokens to early adopters who have actively participated in the beta-testing of the project.

Before a specific token is listed on a centralized or decentralized exchange, it's not publicly tradable, meaning there is no market price. However, tokens can be traded on OTC markets. Also, some exchanges can open derivatives markets where people can trade the token's price without physically having token liquidity on the exchanges. Because of low liquidity on both OTC/derivatives markets and possible market manipulations, a fair/market price for an asset can't be estimated.

Predicting a token's price and future market behavior becomes uncertain, and nobody knows the exact market token’s price on the listing before it’s already listed.

The ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets is a new feature on the Oriole Insights platform, created for users to forecast the performance of cryptocurrencies during their initial listing phase. This type of prediction market is beneficial for investors and enthusiasts who seek to analyze and predict the future market value of tokens post-listing, potentially yielding insights into the token's initial success.

Users have several options how to predict the potential success of the token on initial listing using The ROI & Initial Listing Prediction Markets functionality:

  • Users have the opportunity to predict how many times the price of the token will increase compared to the Public Sale Token Price - ROI (how many Xs the token will gain). It's possible to make such predictions only when there is a Public Sale and the Public Token Price is known.

  • Users have the opportunity to predict what would be a token’s price after listing & its initial Market Cap (based on the Initial Circulation Token Supply)

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Last updated 7 months ago

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